Friday, April 29, 2011

Fcpo wrap....steady at 2-week low...







Back to lower ranges but no breakdw or 3200-test today despite sharp SO losses. Maybe profit take buying ahead of long weekend after droping more than RM100 this week. Mkt remains sideways but fresh leg dw towards 3100 if 3200 fails next week. Negative tone till mkt regains 3300 psychological level.

Fkli wrap..keeping upward-bias tone for next week





Sideways again. Steady above 30 is good enough for bulls as mkt is not expected to make strong run up ahead of long weekend. Both fbm.fkli end the week with 40–toppish outlook, ranging within 20-40 for most part of the week. Moving to 40-60 range next week ? If breakout above 40, yes. Above 30 is upward bias.

Morning start...fkli firm 1533-35 fcpo bearish 3210-20

DJ +70, continuation of strong DJ, GOLD, weak US$ trend. Europe positive tone near +1%. Regional mostly flat at mom. NK holiday. GOLD continues to create fresh record highs after crossing 1500 mark. CO flat. FKLI, enough to sustain above 30 but making attempt at 40 ? Bullish tone if aobve 35. FCPO SO -3%, as U.S. grain futures sank Thursday as improving global
weather forecasts raised hopes for larger harvests. Maybe kneejerk under 3200 in opening trades but 3200-3250 trading range. Late selling expected if mkt stays under 3280. Bearish week ahead likely.

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Fcpo wrap....sideways after follow though selling in PM

Early gains on profit take buying on SO strength but fails to sustain upward momentum as selling emerges in PM after SO off highs of +1%. Tehcnically, not much today as price remains within Wed's ranges. Below 3300 is -ve with fresh -ve tomorrow if 3380 is breached. No major reversal seen till fcpo regains 3350 resistance.


Fkli wrap....barely in +ve zone thanks to fbm resilience

Fbm strong closing, now aiming for upbeat weekly closing near 40. Regional mostly lower on selling in PM. Europe/Dj futs flat. Fkli range trading and quiet but maintains an upward tone despite yesterday's poor actions. But both likely toppish at 40 this week. Fbm profit take sell ahead of long wkend after a 4-day winning streak. Above 1530 is +ve.


Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Fcpo wrap....back to testing 3200 again

A closing under 3300 for the first time in a week on SO leads. Strong chance to re-test recent lower ranges again, 3200. But mkt does look like sideways play for the week, 3200-3400, fluctuating between recent lower n upper band without trend, range bound play.

Fkli wrap....no follow through +ve effect...

Strong reversal in PM as HS/SH dip into –ve area as fears of tightening re-surface after sharp gains in AM trades. From +1% to -0.5%. Fbm.fkli suffer selling under 1530, kneejerk near 20 but manage to regain mid grounds in the end. Technically, bulls find same toppish tone at the same resistance. A closing above 30 would ignite strong days ahead but it seems everything remains sideways.

Morning start...fkli firm 1532-35 fcpo soft 3310-20

DJ +115, Europe +1%. Commodity quiet amid a lack of fresh US$ weakness but remains firmer tone , near flat. Regional +1%. Fkli trying to secure 30-40 range today. Lower range in early trading and upper band if fbm > 32. FCPO SO -0.4%. Back to 3300 support. Intra-day bearish if < 3290. Otherwise it looks like range trading 3300-3350 again.

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

Fcpo wrap...escape fresh bearish signal but still -ve day

Strong bounce off critical support of 3300, partly thanks to SO recovering some of it losses from -1.6% to -0.7% in late Asian hours While no fresh –ve signal, still above 7SMA, fcpo remains -ve this week till it regains 3360 mark. A closing under 3300 is strong bearish signal

Fkli wrap....strong 20 support, back to resistance aleady ?

Fbm.fkli see poor start on regional losses but strong finish as Europe posts +0.5% and DJ futs recoups early losses to trade +20 in late Asian hours. Both survive a fresh dwtrend call under 1520 depsite playing defensive in AM and early PM session. 62% vol from roll ahead of expiry. Sideways remains, 20-40 flip flopping between +ve and -ve bias tone but no major trend. Regional weak on property amid fear of tightening call in Hongkong n China.

Morning start...fkli soft 1522-24 fcpo soft 3350+

DJ -25 mixed tone ahead of Fed. Commodity off Mon's Asian highs. CO -1%. GOLD -0.5%. Regional mixed. NK -1% on strong yen. Fkli likely 20-defensive today, maybe strong RM will keep it above 20 but under 25 is dwward-bias and a closing under 20 could spark fresh leg dw interest. FCPO SO -0.7% back to 3300-3350 range ? Upside seen limited, a breach of 3340 support would see selling presure targeting at least 3310-20

Monday, April 25, 2011

Fcpo wrap...missing 3400...quiet, cautious on RM

Lack of upside despite strong commodity tone. Probably concern over a stronger RM effect put players at the sidelines. RM under RM3 vs USS$. Fcpo suffers losses but in +ve zone, above short term SMAs. “Test 3400” scenario remains as fcpo stays above 3350. 3300-3400 is neutral to bias tone but no major trend.





Fkli wrap..quiet and sideways.....

A quiet day, most mkt flat waiting for US to reopen. Plus, HS holiday today. Sentiment +ve on DJ futs +20 tone but no big moves today.

Morning start...fkli firm 1522-25 fcpo firm 3380+

Firmer start ahead of US opening after a long weekend, leads by commodity. DJ futs +15. Regional near +0.5%. Commodity near +15. GOLD at fresh record, CO at fresh mutiple years highs. FKLI sideways seen but firmer tone at upper band of 20-30 with 20 as the immediate support. Cautious if fbm remains under 25. FCPO SO +0.7% , seen testing 3400 resistance. Support is raised to 50.

Friday, April 22, 2011

Fcpo wrap...going higher for major resistance near 3500

Strong gains on tech breakout scenario despite quiet external amid holiday mood. Bullish closing for the week, making a re-visit towards recent highs highly probable. Immediate support is raised to 3300 from 3280 for 3000-3400 play in the early part of next week

Fkli wrap...bulls playing defensive again....

Weekly +ve but poor tech closing, struggling near short term SMAs. Well supported around 1510 this week but yet to escape bears grip amid weekend profit take sell. Upward-bias if above 20, targeting 40-breaking for fresh upward momentum. Week tone on Mon could drag mkt towards recent lows, 1500-1510.

Morning start...fkli firm 1528-30 fcpo firm 3310-30

DJ +50 , extends run on strong earnings. Europe mostly higher, +0.5% . But regional off to a softer start. NK -0.5%. Commodity firmer tone but quiet. FKLI profit take pressure seen above 30 lvls today. Dwside is likely to be suported at 20. Upward bias if fbm > 25, maintaining +ve posture for next week. FCPO SO flat. Another 3300-3350 range play?. Upward bias tone if above 3300, targeting a breakout above 3350.

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Fcpo wrap....flat all day....bullish as >3300

Very tight range. Tech +ve outlook help to keep fcpo steady despite SO remains near flat line all day. Strong CO probably also lend a hand in keeping fcpo above 3300. Waiting for the next incentives to test 3400. Upward bias if > 3280.

Fkli wrap...no party for bulls, mild setback

Firmer but toppish AM and Fbm faces selling pressure in PM, pulling fkli under 30 too, causing fkli a weak closing and reinforcing its sideways tone for the rest of the week after two day of rebound . This week’s rebound tone remains alive if manages a closing above 20 tomorrow. Regional +1%, Europe +0.1%. DJ futs +50

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Fcpo wrap...testing resistance for fresh upside tone



Ready to test major resistance near 3500 if manages a closing above 3300 this week. And so seems the case if can cross above 3330 tomorrow. Strong support is raised to 3250. Bullish if above 3300.